JEFF GOLEY — RUNNING FROM HIS RECORD

February 8th, 2010

Guess what’s not on the Jeff Goley for State Senate website.  If you said even a mention of where he stands on the issues or his voting record, you guessed right.

Instead, all there is the usual platitudes about helping “working families” and “reducing health care costs,” lies all.

But who can blame young Jeffrey’s handlers.  For ten long years, young Jeffrey has been a one-man tax-and-spend machine who is the first to say “how high” whenever Ray Buckley or some other political or union boss tells him to jump.

JEFF GOLEY FOR STATE SENATE — A NEW LOW IN NH POLITICS

February 8th, 2010

Every new day brings a new, well there is no other way to put it, lie from the Jeff Goley for State Senate campaign.  From the claim that he fights for “working families,” when he has an unblemished record of always putting the interests of government unions above the interests of working families, to the claim that he is an independent voice, when he has an unbroken record of voting however the party bosses like Ray Buckley tell him to vote, to the latest whopper that he is for tax reform, when the example of a tax that he wants to reform is the very LLC tax that he voted to pass!

Has there ever been a more cynical and desperate campaign in the history of New Hampshire?

WAY TO GO, BARRY!

February 8th, 2010

The Dow is back down below 10,000.  Iran has taken a giant step toward a nuclear weapon.

And what is President Obama doing in response?  He wants hold a bi-partisan meeting on health care, which has the real and sole purpose of trying to make Republicans look obstructionist. 

Way to go, Barry.  Way to go.

HAS THE HARD LEFT GIVEN UP ON JEFF GOLEY?

February 7th, 2010

The special election for State Senate District is less than two weeks away.  But one would never know that from visiting the Blue Hampshire website. 

Not only is the front page devoid of any of the usual vitriol against conservative Republicans like David Boutin (note that Ovide is currently getting a pass from Blue Hampshire, because he is the Republican candidate most likely to lose to Paul Hodes), there is not even a mention of Jeff Goley! 

Are the rats –er, I mean hamsters– abandoning that sinking ship that is the Jeff Goley for State Senate campaign?  Looks that way.  Maybe young Jeffrey pissed them off when he flip-flopped on the LLC tax?

JEFF GOLEY’S JOHN KERRY MOMENT

February 7th, 2010

Jeff Goley, in a recent political flier, claims that he will ”lead the fight to reform the LLC tax.”  What Jeff’s flier doesn’t tell the voters is that Jeff led the fight to pass the LLC tax!  Reminds me of John Kerry’s votes on funding the Iraq war:

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“He betrayed this country! He played on our fears!”

February 6th, 2010

The unemployment rate dropped to 9.7 percent in January from 10 percent in December.

That’s good news, but let’s not forget that the Obama administration told us that the so-called stimulus would keep unemployment under 8 percent.  More particularly, they told us that the stimulus would create between three and four million jobs by the end of 2010, and that without the stimulus unemployment would hit about 8.5 percent in 2009 and then continue rising to a peak of about 9 percent in 2010. With the stimulus, they predicted the unemployment rate would peak at just under 8 percent in 2009.

To paraphrase Al Gore, repeat after me – ”He betrayed this country! He played on our fears!  He took America on an ill-conceived [domestic] adventure dangerous to our [economy], an adventure preordained and planned before [Goldman Sachs] ever took place.”  Of course, to really paraphrase Al, make sure that you are screaming at the top 0f your lungs and gesturing wildly.

WALKING THE WALK

February 4th, 2010

Rajon Rondo publicly called out some of his teammates earlier this week.  Then he went out on Wednesday night and backed up his strong words, with a strong game against the Miami Heat.  On a team with veterans like KG, Pierce, Ray Allen and Wallace it took a lot of guts for Rondo to speak out like that.  Then to go out and perform with all that pressure on him.  Sangfroid, baby. 

I wrote off the championship after the recent losses to Orlando, Atlanta and LA.  Concluded the Cs could not compete with the upper echelon teams.  But if Rondo continues to play at the level we saw Wednesday night, and the grey-beards manage to all get healthy and rested for the playoffs, maybe this Cs team will have enough to win another championship.  Hope so.

BARACK HUSSEIN BUSH

February 4th, 2010

It’s almost like Scott Brown was never elected.  Every day brings a new speech or pep talk from Obama about the need to pass Obamacare, and that he is not giving up on Obamacare, blah, blah, blah.  It occurred to me that BH Obama is acting just like GW Bush was when the insurgency in Iraq was ascendant – in denial of reality. 

Prior to the surge, Iraq was a hopeless quagmire and public opinion had turned against the war.  Yet George W and his administration continued to sputter that it was hard work, but that the insurgency was in its death throes, blah, blah, blah.   

The centerpiece of Scott Brown’s campaign, in arguably one of the most liberal, oops I mean progressive, states in the nation was that he would be the vote to stop Obamacare.  Barack, my friend, if you can’t sell Obamacare in the Bay State, it’s not going to sell anywhere.  Yet just like Bush, Obama continues to sputter the same bromides.

I guess BHO’s ego is so big that he really believes that he can turn public opinion on Obamacare through the grace and majesty of his oratory.  Notwithstanding that he gave around, I believe, 30 speeches on Obamacare prior to the Scott Brown election and arguably the effect of all that bloviating was the Scott heard around the world. 

Denial.  Of a magnitude on par with GWB’s.

BUDGET DEFICIT FOR FISCAL 2010 — $76 – $92 MILLION

February 3rd, 2010

According to State Rep Steve Vaillancourt, the deficit for fiscal year 2010, which is not the same as calendar year 2010 looks to be between $76 and $92 million.  Steve’s analysis follows:

According the January revenue report issued by the Department of Administrative Services, the state is $40.6 million short for the first seven months of the year

$1003.0 million was projected

$962.4 million was received

$40.6 million short is 4.05 percent

Not insignificantly, that 4 percent range has been rather consistent throughout the year.

So we most likely can project the 4.05 percent for the year to gain an indication of what we’re likely to be short. Here’s what we get.

Year revenues planned–$22591. million times 4.05 percent = $91.5 million.

If you were to back out $363 million (the amount the state is expected to receive in April for statewide property taxes), the plan for the year is $1891 million.

$1891.0 times 4.05 percent = $76.6 million

More than half the shortfall comes from two sources, rooms and meals taxes and interest and dividends taxes.

Rooms and meal tax – down 9.2 percent—down $14.7 million ($144.3 vs. $159.0 expected for seven months). This extrapolates to a $23.1 million shortfall for the year.

Interest and dividends tax—down 20.4%!—down $9.7 million ($38.8 million vs. $48.5 expected with a whopping $40.8 million expected in April). This extrapolates to $23.9 million shortfall for the year.

Business taxes—down “only” 2.8 percent–$6.6 million ($226.1 vs. $232.7 expected). Most of these taxes come due in March and April, so this is truly the wild card, but extrapolation of current numbers yields a $14.3 million shortfall for the year.

Tobacco tax—is the only revenue source exceeding plan. Up 4.9 percent—up $7.1 million ($145.7 vs. $138.6 expected). Extrapolation of +$10.6 million.

Rep. Steve Vaillancourt, Hills. 15

N.H. LOBBYISTS ROLLING IN GAMBLING CASH

February 2nd, 2010

By Rep. Steve Vaillancourt:

Senate Bill 489.

That’s the number for Senator Lou D’Allesandro’s latest effort to bring slots to New Hampshire. Unlike the House where all bills had to be out a month ago, Senate bills follow a more leisurely path, and the new gambling bill has just been unveiled.

In fact, while it’s available on line now, it’s at the printers and is not yet available in paper form.

A cursory reading of the 38-page bill leads one to believe it has something for just about everyone who wants expanded gambling: 5000 slots for Rockingham Park, 2000 for the former/current dog tracks, two north country facilities with up to 2000 slots apiece, and just for good measure, the Hudson plan (call it the Clegg/Emiro plan in honor of former Senator Bob Clegg and current Rep Emiro) which calls for a full blown golf resort, convention center and gaming table casino “in a town along the Massachusetts border in Hillsborough County”.

Hey, that sounds like Hudson without using the word Hudson.

Like last year, entry “fees” for the casino rights are steep: $50 million for the Rock and Hudson, $20 million for the North Country and track facilities.

In recognition of the virtual death of dog racing and horse racing being on life support systems, the new bill does not require that the tracks actually conduct live racing. Simulcasting will do.

Interestingly, three House Republicans are co-sponsoring the D’Allesandro bill, Lynn Ober from–would you believe–Hudson; Ed Gionet from Lincoln; and James Rausch from Derry. Two House Democrats sponsoring the bill are Nashua’s Jane Clemons, apparently bucking House leadership (she’s chair of the Election Law committee) and Paul Ingersoll from Berlin. Hmm…Berlin and Lincoln, two North Country casinos!

Four Democrats (Lasky and Gilmour from Nashua; Devries from Manchester, and Sgambati from Laconia) join the usual Senate Republicans Gallus (Berlin) and Downing (Salem) as co-sponsors.

Unlike the House which limits sponsors to five, as many senators as want may sign on to a bill. The fact that there are only seven senators may not bode well for the bill, but then most people at the State House don’t expect it to pass in its initial form. Like last year, it’s believed the Senate will hold the bill. When and if the House sends over a budget repair bill…Viola…Can anyone say committee of conference stalemate again?

That more things change, the more things remain the same.

Wait, wait…it does appear the state’s take has gone down, from 49 percent a year ago to 39 percent this year, just as anti-gambling advocate Jim Rubens had predicted.

Meanwhile, lobbyist filings in the Secretary of State’s office for the final quarter of 2009 reveal that big bucks are being spent to get the gambling proposal passed. Manchester lobbyist Dan Callahan (who likes to refer to himself as the 25th senator) reports just shy of $144,000 from Rockingham Park (did he write the D’Allesandro bill?) and another $150,000 from Yankee Greyhound (the Seabrook Track). Millenium reports paying economist Lisa Shapiro (she of the state retirement board?) $24,000 for her work.

Don’t feel sorry for lobbyist Jim Demers (lobbyist or the 26th senator?). He reports $106,500 from Cannery Casino Resorts (Millenium by another name). Belmont lobbyist Rick Newman earlier reported $34,664 for his efforts and former House Speaker George Roberts raked in $27,500 from Yankee Greyhound.