The Real Myth About Voter Fraud in New Hampshire is the Myth That Voter Fraud is a Myth

The Democrats, the #nhpolitics press and the GOP Establishment insist that voter fraud is a myth.  They doth protest too much, to borrow a phrase from the bard.

It is beyond cavil that in 2016 drive-by –out-of-State– voters tipped New Hampshire to Maggie Hassan, and it is certainly arguable that they also tipped the State to Hillary Clinton.

Here’s the 2016 vote tally for President and United States Senate:Hillary beat President Trump by 2,736 votes, while Maggie got only 1,017 more votes than Ayotte.  The question, needless to say, is how many of these votes were fraudulent.

We can answer this question because we have a good handle on the number of drive-by voters from data provided by the New Hampshire Secretary of State and we can make reasonable estimates of how these votes split between the Democrats and the GOP.

There are various categories of drive-by voters.  Let’s start with the largest.  Those who are allowed to vote with out-of-State licenses.

From a recent report by the New Hampshire Secretary of State:

It is reasonable to assume that these 5,333 voters were primarily out-of-State college students.  From a September, 2017 article by Kevin Landrigan regarding the Secretary of State’s report:

Last February, Gardner reported about 5,900 “new” voters — those not on the pre-election checklist — who cast ballots last November presented out-of-state driver’s licenses at the polls. Among this group, nearly two-thirds of them voted in college towns: Durham (1,608); Hanover (774); Keene (624); and Plymouth (397).

The total from the towns listed by Landrigan comes to 3,403.  Landrigan’s count, however, is clearly incomplete.

Add in the “new” voters in towns and cities not counted by Landrigan that are adjacent to the towns he listed or are themselves the locations of colleges:

Dover (113 – UNH), Goffstown (186 – Saint Anselm’s), Henniker (135 – New England College), Hooksett (165 – SNHU), Manchester (264 – SNHU and Saint Anselm’s) and Rindge (214 – Franklin Pierce)

and we are up to 4,367.  I am going to assume –in order to make the math easy and because the rough count above certainly missed some college students (because I din’t list all adjacent towns)– that 4,500 of the 5,333 voters who voted in 2016 using an out-of-State license and who did not subsequently obtain a New Hampshire license were out-of-State college students.

Democrats have suggested that this vote would have split evenly between the parties.  In other words, “no harm, no foul.”  Poppycock.

According to Pew, young voters -voters aged 18 to 29- went for Clinton 55 percent to 37 percent.  This gap is among young voters in general.  It is reasonable to assume that the gap is significantly higher among college students choosing to vote in New Hampshire rather than their home-States.

As New Hampshire Public Radio has conceded, “college towns have consistently given Democrats a boost, especially in general elections”.  For example, the Secretary of State’s records show that Hanover went for Hillary over Trump 6,561 to 926 or more than seven to one.  Needless to say, this is why the Democrats and their surrogates such as the ACLU frantically oppose any and all efforts to prevent out-of-State college students from voting in New Hampshire.

Let’s assume that three-quarters of the 4,500 out-of-State college students voted Democrat, an extremely cautious assumption given -as noted above- that Hanover went for Clinton 6,561 to 926 or more than seven to one.  This nets to 2,250 drive-by votes for the Democrats.  “Un-counting” these votes gives Ayotte approximately a 1,250 vote victory over Maggie, and cuts Hillary’s margin over Trump to less than 500 votes.

So without even counting the other types of drive-by votes, we can say with certainty that drive-by college voters –out-of-State college students who voted in New Hampshire without an intention of becoming residents of New Hampshire– chose New Hampshire’s United States Senator in 2016.  Indeed, it seems to be common knowledge among college students:

Now let’s turn to a different category of drive-by voter.  The drive-by voter who was allowed to vote despite providing no ID.  From an article by Kevin Landrigan in #DyingPaper (aka Union Leader):

• Qualified affidavits: 440 voters. Nearly all of these 764 citizens signed an affidavit in order to vote on Election Day because they didn’t have or did not want to present a voter ID card prior to casting a ballot. Among this group, 377 did not return a postcard sent to verify their address and the post office reported another 63 postcards could not be delivered to the address given.

Because the Democrats and their surrogates such as the ACLU have frantically opposed all efforts to require voter ID it is reasonable to assume that these votes would split the same way the votes of out-of-State college students split.  It is likely that most of these 440 drive-by votes are Democrat campaign workers who moved temporarily to New Hampshire for the election and left afterwards.  Assuming that only three-quarters of these drive-by voters cast ballots for the Democrats nets 220 votes for the Democrats.  Back out these drive-by votes and Ayotte now has approximately a 1,500 vote victory over Hassan, while Hillary’s margin over Trump has shrunk to just a bit over 250 votes.

Another category of drive-by voter is the voter who gives a phony address:

• Domicile affidavits: 458 voters. These were people who registered to vote and signed an affidavit attesting the address they gave was accurate. There were 6,033 domicile affidavits and of those, 458 were reported as undeliverable to the address that had been given.

These are likely the proverbial “buses from Massachusetts,” out-of-State voters coming into New Hampshire on Election Day.  Using the same conservative 75 percent to 25 percent split, Ayotte’s margin now over 1,700, while Hillary’s margin is down to less than 40 votes.

The numbers show that it is vital that the Legislature gets HB 372 right and that the Governor sign HB 372.  New Hampshire elections should not be decided by out-of-State college students who choose to remain residents of their home-States, or by persons who refuse to present a legitimate ID or by persons who refuse to present legitimate proof of the location of his or her abode.

New Hampshire Fake News Awards

Motivated by this tweet from the President:

I thought I would announce my picks for the most Fake News in #nhpolitics in 2017:

THIRD PLACE:  Casey McDermott for her article on December 5th titled, Women Lobbyists, Legislators Describe Coping with Harassment at N.H. State House.  The article detailed horrifying examples of sexual harassment at the New Hampshire State House such as -brace yourself- a lobbyist being asked out on a date:

And Saunders Paquette said one of her female staffers had recently been invited by a male lawmaker to move their policy discussion away from a professional setting and toward dinner or drinks instead.

Even worse -I know it’s hard to believe- other lobbyists had to endure:

… lawmaker staring at them as though he was “undressing [them] with his eyes.”

McDermott’s crack investigative work also exposed an entire “culture of misogyny” at the State House.  Her lead example is that “of the 24 standing committees in the New Hampshire House, 19 are led by men.”  Apparently, McDermott is unaware that the Speaker chooses the Chairs of committees.  So to the extent that having 19 of 24 committees led by men proves a hatred or contempt for women –as opposed to political payback or numerous other non-misogynistic criteria for appointing Chairs– it is the Speaker who is the misogynist.

The bottom line is that McDermott could not come up with a single example of what an objective person would consider sexual harassment or misogyny at the State House, yet wrote an article based on the premise that harassment and misogyny are commonplace at the State House anyway.

SECOND PLACE:  The senior of WMUR’s two #BuckelysBoys, John DiStaso, for his “coverage” of a Democrat State Representative pleading guilty to assaulting a woman during a recount.

The assault occurred during a November 16, 2016 recount for a State Senate seat won by the GOP.  The victim of the assault, Susan Olsen, was present as an observer for the GOP, while Representative Katherine Rogers was present for the Democrat candidate.

Here are excerpts of the coverage from New Hampshire Patch:

In the complaint, Olsen stated that Rogers was challenging many of the ballots and requested that they be put closer to her so she could see them … Rogers put her hand on her shoulder, as if to hug her, stated that she wanted Olsen to be happy, and then struck her. Olsen warned Rogers that if she touched her again, she’d have her arrested and stated that Rogers… replied … “in a low, mocking, angry whisper,” … “Hit me. I know you want to. Go ahead. Hit me.”

After the case was filed Rogers’ attorney – William Christie of Shaheen & Gordon – told media outlets that the incident was a ploy and being played up for political purposes. … Olsen, however, countered that she waited until the end of the legislative session to file the charge in order for it to not be perceived as political. During the investigation by New Hampshire State Police, a witness came forward to corroborate Olsen’s complaint … .

A contingent of elected Democrats and other activists were in attendance to support Rogers including Ray Buckley, the chairman of the New Hampshire Democratic Party, Minority Leader Steve Shurtleff, D-Concord, … and others.

Contrast Patch’s coverage to the coverage -if it can even be called that- by DiStaso.  He simply posted an “update” -at 11:07 p.m.- to a story that ran back in August.  The “update” merely reported the terms of the guilty plea, followed by this spin from Rogers’ attorney:

Rogers’ attorney told WMUR in a written statement: “During a recount in November 2016, Representative Rogers touched a former Republican representative while they were sitting side by side counting ballots. No complaint was filed at the time of the incident. Six months later the person, a political adversary, filed a complaint with the police. Today, Representative Rogers accepted responsibility for touching the other person without her permission.”

To include only Rogers’ version of events, which are thoroughly inconsistent with the victim’s, is completely unfair and evinces strong bias.  Add to that that there was no mention of the corroborating witness or the presence in court of the Democrat Party Chairman and House Minority Leader.

It is indisputable that if the shoe were on the other foot -if the perpetrator had been a GOP State Representative and the victim a Democrat activist- that DiStaso would have covered it in the opposite manner.  The victim’s version of events would have been front and center while the perpetrator’s would have been excluded or met with extreme skepticism.

Additionally but unsurprisingly, both Ray Buckley and the Democrat House Leader Steve Shurtleff got a pass from DiStaso.  Again, if the shoe were on the other foot the presence of Buckley and Shurtleff in court would have been noted, and they would have been asked why instead of calling for the resignation of a Representative who had plead guilty to assaulting a woman, they were instead putting on a public show of support for that Representative.  And their double-standard of calling for GOP Representatives to resign merely based upon accusations, but not calling upon Democrats to resign after guilty pleas, would have been noted.

FIRST PLACE:  Drum roll please.  And first place -the fakest of the Fake News- goes to Adam Sexton Grady -the other half of WMUR’s #BuckleysBoys- for smearing likely Trump voters as “white supremacists.”

In September, Sexton Grady interviewed Matt Braynard, the executive director of Look Ahead America, an organization created by some former Trump campaign data-gurus whose mission is to “identify patriotic Americans who’ve become disaffected and cynical, so we can engage them on issues relevant to them, get them registered, get them educated and turn them out to vote.”  

“New Hampshire’s going to be, probably, the state we advance to next,” Matt Braynard, Executive Director of Look Ahead America, said. “We’ve identified maybe 15,000 inactive voters who we would consider disaffected, patriotic Americans. And potentially 100,000 or more unregistered adults we’re going to reach out to.”

Following the interview, State Democrat Chair Ray Buckley was soundly taken to task, and deservedly so, for referring to these voters as white supremacists:

“The organizing and activating of these extremists, these white supremacists, really could have a detrimental effect on the entire culture of New Hampshire,” New Hampshire Democratic Party Chairman Ray Buckley said.

But it was actually Sexton Grady who started the white supremacist slur:

Sexton asked … : “We’ve seen extremism rearing its ugly head lately. What happens if you’re able to identify potential voters but you do see some extremism there – perhaps white supremacism, things like that.

“Is a vote a vote or are you guys going to try to keep those people separate?”

Rather than reporting facts without favor, Sexton Grady instead uses his position at WMUR9 to advance the agenda of the Democrat party, which at this time -shortly after the Charlottesville riots- was to paint President Trump and the GOP generally as supportive of “white supremacists.”

For smearing an entire group of voters, Sexton Grady wins the fakest of the Fake News.

Trouble on the Right for Chris Sununu?

On December 14th, Governor Chris Sununu announced the formation of a Civil Rights Unit within the Attorney General’s office and the establishment of an Advisory Council on Diversity and Inclusion:This appears to have been the proverbial straw-that-broke-the-camel’s-back for New Hampshire’s indefatigable conservative blogger Steve MacDonald, who posted a blog titled Chris Sununu’s March Toward the US Senate Takes Another Bite Out of New Hampshire: Continue reading

WMUR and NHPR Blackout Democrat State Representative’s Assault of Woman Participating in Recount

Mid-morning on December 22, 2017, New Hampshire Patch posted a story captioned as follows:

Concord State Rep. Pleads Guilty To Assault Charge

State Rep. Katherine Rogers, D-Concord, admits to assaulting Susan Olsen, a 2nd Amendment rights activist during a NH recount last year.

The assault occurred during a November 16, 2016 recount for a State Senate seat won by the GOP.  The victim of the assault, Susan Olsen, was present as an observer for the GOP, while Rogers was present for the Democrat candidate. Continue reading

No Snowflakes, HB 372 is Not a Poll Tax

In 1966, in a case captioned, Harper vs. Virginia Board of Elections, the United States Supreme Court ruled that Virginia’s poll tax was unconstitutional under the 14th Amendment.  Under the law that was struck down, persons who were not current on the poll tax were not allowed to vote.

This case essentially applied the 24th Amendment (ratified in 1964), which provides as follows, to State elections:

The right of citizens of the United States to vote in any primary or other election for President or Vice President, for electors for President or Vice President, or for Senator or Representative in Congress, shall not be denied or abridged by the United States or any State by reason of failure to pay any poll tax or other tax.

In other words, as a matter of constitutional law a poll tax is a law that conditions voting upon payment of some tax, fine or fee.

The Democrats and their allies such as the ACLU are claiming that HB 372 would impose a “poll tax.” Continue reading

Senate Amendment to House Bill 372 Does Not Go Far Enough

The right to vote has been described as one of the most precious of our rights.  But that right is meaningless if out-of-State voters are deciding New Hampshire elections.  Yet that is exactly what happened in 2016 in -at a minimum- in the United States Senate race and the Presidential contest.

Earlier this year, the Governor signed Senate Bill 3 into law, which tightens up the definition of who is allowed to vote in New Hampshire.  As I explained here, Senate Bill 3 did not go far enough.  There is a new bill, House Bill 372, which will address one of the problems with Senate Bill 3.  Yet it too does not go far enough.  Fortunately, it can easily be improved, as I will discuss below.

To assist the reader, I will divide this post into various sections. Continue reading

Ray Buckley, Rape and Whataboutism

Yesterday, New Hampshire Democrats held their annual “Kennedy-Clinton Dinner,” which is their major fundraiser.  The dinner is named after former Presidents Kennedy and Clinton.

NH GOP Chair, Jeanie Forester, called on the Democrats to denounce Clinton and remove his name:

When asked about Forester’s press release, Democrat Chair Ray Buckley responded as follows:

Asked by Fox News if the state Democratic party should have a conversation about taking Clinton’s name off the dinner, party Chairman Raymond Buckley said, “I think it would be an interesting conversation right after we see the resignation of Donald Trump.”

Asked again, Buckley responded that “I think that once we see the Republican Party really stand up and represent the real values of America, I think we can have a number of other conversations about other officials. But right now this country, this world, is under assault by Donald Trump and that’s really the most pressing issue.”

Buckley is engaging in whataboutism, a tactic routinely employed by the Soviet Union to deflect criticism.  For example, in response to criticism of human rights violations, the Soviets would criticize race-relations in the United States.  The goal of whataboutism is to avoid addressing the criticism by creating a false equivalence. Continue reading

Bannon’s Correct: Trump Did Win New Hampshire (When You Subtract the Drive-By Votes)

Former White House chief strategist and current head of Breitbart News Steve Bannon created a firestorm recently when he spoke to a conservative group, the 603 Alliance, in Manchester, New Hampshire and stated that he believed that President Trump actually won New Hampshire:

“I believe strongly, and I’m prepared to put my money where my mouth is, that we won the state of New Hampshire,” he said. Continue reading