Bannon’s Correct: Trump Did Win New Hampshire (When You Subtract the Drive-By Votes)

Former White House chief strategist and current head of Breitbart News Steve Bannon created a firestorm recently when he spoke to a conservative group, the 603 Alliance, in Manchester, New Hampshire and stated that he believed that President Trump actually won New Hampshire:

“I believe strongly, and I’m prepared to put my money where my mouth is, that we won the state of New Hampshire,” he said.

I did not attend the event, but the local television station, WMUR, reported that Bannon reasoned as follows:

“There were 6,540 same-day registers here that had to get a (New Hampshire) drivers license by Jan. 7, 2017,” Bannon said. “The election integrity commission, on Aug. 30 — 10 months afterwards — said only 1,014 of the 6,540 had actually obtained a New Hampshire drivers’ license, and 5,526 individuals never obtained anything.”

… 

Bannon said that if one assumes that one-third of those voters were college student who were legally entitled to vote in the state, “You’ve still got 3,600 votes that really haven’t been accounted for.”

These 3,600 “unaccounted” votes materially exceed Hillary Clinton’s 2,736 vote margin: 

Thus, according to Bannon, voters who were not legally entitled to vote in New Hampshire tipped the State to Hillary.

The problem with Bannon’s reasoning is that it is more sound to assume that most of the same-day registrants who did not obtain a driver’s license were college students.  From an article by Kevin Landrigan:

Last February, [Secretary of State Bill} Gardner reported about 5,900 “new” voters — those not on the pre-election checklist — who cast ballots last November presented out-of-state driver’s licenses at the polls. Among this group, nearly two-thirds of them voted in college towns: Durham (1,608); Hanover (774); Keene (624); and Plymouth (397).

Assuming that these voters were college students, however, merely means that Bannon was technically wrong in claiming that Hillary won New Hampshire based on illegal votes.  It does not mean that a majority of New Hampshire residents voted for Hillary over Trump.

To the contrary, it cannot be seriously disputed that Trump won New Hampshire when the votes of out-of-State, or “drive-by” voters, are backed out.  More specifically, by not obtaining a New Hampshire driver’s license after voting, these college students manifested an intent NOT to be residents of New Hampshire and so had no business voting here.

In response to my assertion that college students who choose to remain residents of their home-States should not be voting in New Hampshire, the Democrats will say that LEGALLY one does not have to be a resident of New Hampshire to vote in New Hampshire.  That technically is true.  As part of its results-oriented election-law jurisprudence, the New Hampshire Supreme Court has created a special voting status for college students where they can vote in either their home-States or in New Hampshire.

But that does not mean such out-of-State college students should be allowed to vote in New Hampshire.  All that means is that the New Hampshire Supreme Court has made voter-fraud legal in New Hampshire.

As I have explained in several posts, most recently this one, it cannot be seriously disputed that drive-by –out-of-State– voters tipped the 2016 election to both Hillary Clinton and Maggie Hassan.  For the reader’s ease of reference, I will run through the numbers here.

Lets’ start with the vote tally:So Hillary won by 2,736 votes, while Maggie Hassan won by only 1,017 votes.

From the same article by Kevin Landrigan which I referenced above:

A new report on the 2016 election found nearly 1,100 people who cast ballots here in New Hampshire were either under investigation for voting in more than one place or signed affidavits with addresses that may no longer be valid, House Speaker Shawn Jasper, R-Hudson disclosed Thursday.

This total of questioned voters — 1,094 — is greater than the 1,017-vote margin by which Democrat Maggie Hassan won her U.S. Senate seat over incumbent Republican Kelly Ayotte on Nov. 8.

Here is the breakdown of the 1,094 questionable votes:

• Voting twice: 196 voters. New Hampshire and other state prosecutors are investigating this number who gave the same name and the same date of birth and voted here and in at least one other state.

• Qualified affidavits: 440 voters. Nearly all of these 764 citizens signed an affidavit in order to vote on Election Day because they didn’t have or did not want to present a voter ID card prior to casting a ballot. Among this group, 377 did not return a postcard sent to verify their address and the post office reported another 63 postcards could not be delivered to the address given.

• Domicile affidavits: 458 voters. These were people who registered to vote and signed an affidavit attesting the address they gave was accurate. There were 6,033 domicile affidavits and of those, 458 were reported as undeliverable to the address that had been given.

It is reasonable to assume that the vast majority of these 1,094 phantom voters were out-of-Staters who voted Democrat because the New Hampshire Democrat Party has staunchly opposed all efforts to require photo-identification for voting and has staunchly sharing voter information with other States in order to prevent voting in more than one State,

So without even counting the votes of out-of-State college students, we can say that it is likely Maggie Hassan was elected Senator by out-of-State voters.

It is also reasonable to assume that the vast majority of the 5,313 voters who used out-of-State driver’s licenses to vote in New Hampshire in 2016 and then did not subsequently obtain New Hampshire driver’s licenses or register their motor-vehicles in New Hampshire were out-of-State college students who voted Democrat because the New Hampshire Democrat Party has staunchly opposed all efforts to strengthen the definition of  domicile to prevent out-of-State college students from voting in New Hampshire.

In sum, it is reasonable to assume that when drive-by votes are backed out and only the votes of New Hampshire residents counted, Trump likely defeated Clinton by around 3,000 votes.

The “Downshifting” Canard

Running in today’s Concord Monitor is an opinion piece by Representative Steve Shurtleff titled “The season of downshifting.”

Essentially, Shurtleff argues that there should be a greater utilization of State tax revenues to pay for local spending in order to keep local property taxes from rising:

In New Hampshire, funding for schools and local government comes primarily from two sources: state aid and the property tax. When state aid is reduced, or not maintained at a level to match living expenses, the only way for municipalities to maintain obligations is to increase the property tax.

According to Shurtleff, State tax revenues are basically free money because they are paid by businesses and “out-of-staters”:

Municipal taxes are borne exclusively by property owners, whereas state taxes assess moneys from businesses and out-of-staters.

Shurtleff’s “free money” pitch raises an obvious question: if State tax revenues are “free money”, then why isn’t Shurtleff suggesting doing away with municipal taxes altogether and funding schools and local government exclusively with State taxes? Continue reading

2016 Winners and Losers — Biggest National Political Loser

So we’ve named the Biggest Local Political Winner of 2016 – Governor-elect Chris Sununu, and the Biggest Local Political Loser of 2016 – #StinkyJoe McQuaid.  And we’ve named the Biggest National Political Winner of 2016 – President-elect Donald J. Trump.  So all that’s left is to name the Biggest National Political Loser of 2016. Continue reading

Donald Trump is Just Like Ronald Reagan …

Donald Trump is just like Ronald Reagan … in the sense that his opponent can only win by convincing the public that Trump is too uninformed and reckless to be President.  Hillary’s unpopularity and the unpopularity of Obama’s policies (as opposed to Obama’s personal popularity) forces her to take the lesser-of-two-evils approach: “I may have a dirty-hand, but it’s a steady-hand that won’t launch nukes because some foreign leader gets on my wrong side.”

There is an urban myth that Reagan trailed Jimmy Carter in the polls until their one and only debate, then pulled ahead and eventually won because he won the debate and showed the voters that Carter’s attacks were false. Continue reading

Concord Monitor Shotguns the Clinton Kool-Aid

It’s not surprising that the Concord Monitor has endorsed Hillary Clinton over Bernie Sanders.  The Monitor has seen Jeanne Shaheen (Governor 1997-2002, United States Senator 2009-2021), John Lynch (Governor 2005-2013) and Maggie Hassan (Governor 2013-2017) turn New Hampshire ever-bluer through incrementalism and was there in 2002 when gubernatorial candidate Mark Fernald lost in a landslide when he tried it Bernie’s way.

But the intellectual dishonesty of the Monitor’s endorsement should not go untold.  Indeed, reading the editorial is like chug-a-lugging a mug of the Clinton Kool-Aid. Continue reading

Coverage of Benghazi Hearing Shows How in the Tank the New Hampshire Press is for Hillary

Go to the WMUR website and search for “Benghazi”.  There is no local coverage of Hillary Clinton’s testimony before the Benghazi Select Committee.  Just links to CNN, which should stand for Clinton News Network.  For example, an article titled “Grilling of Hillary Clinton Misfired”: Continue reading