Unofficial results have Democrat Kevin Cavanaugh defeating Republican David Boutin by a very comfortable margin of 55% to 45% in the Special Election for State Senate District 16.
The result should serve as a wake-up call to the NH GOP because Boutin held the seat from 2010 to 2016 and Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton essentially battled to a draw in 2016, with Clinton eking out a 15,150 to 15,040 win.
The difference in performance between Trump and Boutin is even more striking because Trump had to contend with hordes of out-of-State college students from Southern New Hampshire University and Saint Anselm voting in his election, while Boutin had the benefit of many of these students being home for summer break.
Yes, I know the election is not until July 25th. And, actually, I expect the candidate running as a Republican, former State Senator David Boutin, to come out on top. But while the Democrats may lose this particular battle, they have won the war. More specifically, the Republican Party in New Hampshire has moved so far to the left that the Concord Monitor has endorsed Boutin.
In other words, the political divide in New Hampshire is no longer about small government versus big government, which I believe is the essence of the conservative versus liberal divide. It’s about who can run big government better. Continue reading →
New Hampshire’s participation in Obamacare Medicaid Expansion, which extends Medicaid to individuals making up to 133 percent of the federal poverty level, will sunset at the end of 2016 because the federal government will no longer fund 100 percent of the cost.
Republicans in the State Senate, who could have blocked expanded Medicaid, repeatedly pledged, that New Hampshire’s participation would end if federal funding dropped below 100 percent. Continue reading →
One of the rationales I have been given for conservatives supporting the budget passed by the Legislature, which increases spending six percent over the next two-year budget cycle, is that otherwise Speaker Shawn Jasper and his supporters would have had to go to the Democrats. That, the rationale goes, would have meant that the House’s budget would have also continued Obamacare Medicaid Expansion past 2016, which the Senate would have eagerly supported. In other words, higher spending was the price to be paid for preventing the continuation of Obamacare Medicaid Expansion.
This never made much sense to me because there was nothing preventing Jasper from bringing Medicaid up after the budget was passed.
If by base, you mean the majority of the Republican Party, then I think Trump’s poll numbers shows just the opposite. That the majority of the Republican Party is OK with Republican Party leadership. Even if you add the poll numbers for Ted Cruz, Rand Paul, Mike Huckabee and Ben Carson, who all to some extent can be characterized as anti-establishment, to Donald Trump’s number, you are still below 50 percent: Continue reading →